Donald Trump won the presidential election in Wisconsin, securing the state’s ten electoral votes in a closely watched race. The Badger State’s results added to Trump’s electoral count, marking a significant win in one of the nation’s most pivotal swing states.

The victory in Wisconsin follows an intensive push by the Republican National Committee (RNC) in the days leading up to Election Day.

Decision Desk HQ Screenshot

The RNC concentrated efforts in Wisconsin, particularly in addressing concerns around poll watcher access in Milwaukee.

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Last week, the RNC filed a lawsuit against the Milwaukee Elections Commission, arguing for increased transparency and access for poll watchers, a move aimed at ensuring election integrity.

Wisconsin has been a battleground state in recent elections, swinging between parties and frequently playing a critical role in determining the outcome of presidential contests.

RNC officials placed significant resources into Wisconsin, with a strong focus on voter outreach and ensuring poll monitoring across key districts.

The RNC’s legal action, coupled with its on-the-ground efforts, reflected the party’s commitment to maximizing turnout and monitoring election processes closely in the final days of the campaign.

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Here’s what the data said prior to the election:

According to U.S. News & World Report’s reporting on Wisconsin:

Mail Ballots Returned as of Nov. 5: 584,382
In-Person Early Votes: 955,906
Total Early Votes: 1,540,288

“Technically referred to as in-person absentee voting in Wisconsin, early voting in the Badger State started Oct. 22 and no excuse is required. University of Florida tracking shows over a third of the tally as of Nov. 5 came from mail ballots.

Officials had to resolve slow system issues on the first day of early in-person voting due to “higher than expected turnout.” Both Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz, the Democratic vice presidential candidate, and former President Barack Obama visited the swing state on Oct. 22 to urge early voting.” – U.S. News & World Report

In the final 2024 RealClear Polling Average, Kamala Harris was ahead by 0.4 in Wisconsin.

RealClear Polling Screenshot

Below, you can see how the RealClear Polling average for Wisconsin was trending in the months leading up to the election.

RealClear Polling Screenshot

In 2020’s final results, Joe Biden edged Donald Trump out, 49.6% to 48.9%. In 2016, Donald Trump beat Hillary Clinton 47.2% to 46.5%.

RealClear Polling Screenshot

Polymarket betting odds in Wisconsin (as of 2:46 PM EST) had Kamala Harris up over Donald Trump 55% to 47%:

Who will win Wisconsin? – Polymarket Screenshot

Polymarket 2024 National Election Forecast: