A new AtlasIntel poll shows former President Donald Trump leading Kamala Harris across all major swing states with narrow but growing margins as the 2024 presidential election draws near.

Vice President Kamala Harris attended a program held in Charlotte, North Carolina. North Carolina, USA. 12.01.2024.

The survey of likely voters indicates that Trump is favored in pivotal states, including North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, Nevada, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania.

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In several of these battlegrounds, Trump’s lead extends beyond the poll’s margin of error.

CHARLOTTE, NORTH CAROLINA – JULY 24: U.S. Republican Presidential former President Donald Trump exits after speaking at his rally at the Bojangles Coliseum on July 24, 2024 in Charlotte, North Carolina

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His largest advantage is seen in Arizona, where he currently holds a 52.3% to 45.8% lead over Harris.

Nevada shows Trump ahead at 51.2% compared to Harris’s 46%, also outside the margin of error.

In North Carolina, both candidates recently campaigned on Saturday, and Trump maintains a lead of 50.5% to Harris’s 47.1%.

In Georgia, another crucial state, Trump is ahead with 50.1% to Harris’s 47.6%.

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Other swing states show tighter races, falling within the poll’s two-point margin of error.

In Michigan, Trump leads with 49.7% to Harris’s 48.2%, and in Pennsylvania, he is ahead by 49.6% to her 47.8%. The narrowest gap is in Wisconsin, where Trump leads by just over one percentage point at 49.7% to Harris’s 48.6%.

Overall, the poll shows Trump with a 49% lead over Harris’s 47.2% nationally, reinforcing his standing in critical battleground states.

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AtlasIntel, which gained attention for its accuracy in the 2020 election cycle, notes that it successfully predicted outcomes in every swing state within the margin of error that year, adding weight to its current findings as both campaigns push through the final stretch before Election Day.