CNN’s Harry Enten has a stern warning for Democrats and Kamala Harris supporters: it’s too soon to celebrate.
Enten outlined three key reasons why the current state of the race should give liberals pause.
3 caution points for Democrats…
1. Trump wins if the difference between the polls at this point & the result matches what we saw in 2016 or 2020.
2. Trump’s more popular now than at this pt in 2016 or 2020.
3. Dems don’t say they’re more likely to vote now than in May pic.twitter.com/E0zfPCyKS9— (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) August 13, 2024
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First, Enten highlighted a recurring issue with polling: pollsters have consistently underestimated Donald Trump’s support.
This wasn’t a fluke; in both 2016 and 2020, polls missed the mark by 9 points and 5 points respectively in crucial swing states like Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan.
Second, Trump’s popularity is at an all-time high. Enten noted that this fact, even reported by the New York Times, seems to be downplayed.
Despite Kamala Harris’s apparent success in boosting the Democrats’ fundraising and voter enthusiasm, she hasn’t made a significant impact on the number of committed voters. That figure has remained static at around 62-61 percent since May.
Given these factors, Enten warns that Trump is in a strong position for the upcoming election.
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