In a surprising turn of events, Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump are neck and neck in a head-to-head matchup in Virginia, with a new poll from the Institute for Policy and Opinion Research at Roanoke College revealing a deadlock between the two candidates five months before the presidential election. The poll, released on Wednesday, shows both candidates garnering 42% support in a head-to-head scenario, while Biden leads by a slim 2-point margin when third-party candidates are taken into account.
#New General Election Poll – Virginia
? Trump 42%
? Biden 42%Biden won in 2020 with a 10% margin!
Roanoke #31 – 711 LV – 5/21
— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) May 29, 2024
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This latest data marks a significant shift in Trump’s favor, considering his previous losses in the state during the 2016 and 2020 elections. The poll also indicates a decline in Biden’s lead compared to previous surveys, raising alarms among Democrats as the upcoming election draws near.
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Although only a small percentage of likely voters remain undecided, the survey highlights a notable portion of voters open to supporting candidates other than Biden or Trump, signaling potential volatility in the race. Independent candidates Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Green Party candidate Jill Stein, and independent Cornell West also make appearances in the poll results, further complicating the electoral landscape.
We told you Virginia was close…
?Roanoke College Poll: Biden and Trump tied in Virginia?https://t.co/pOaYXaOPWn
— Karoline Leavitt (@kleavittnh) May 29, 2024
Political analysts point out that Virginia could become a battleground state in the upcoming election, with the candidates’ favorability ratings reflecting the tense political climate. Both Trump and Biden are viewed negatively by a significant portion of voters, with concerns over the economy playing a vital role in determining voter sentiment.
Trump and Biden are tied in Virginia according to a poll released today. Biden won Virginia by ten points in 2020. Trump team has said they see Virginia and Minnesota as winnable based on their polling. Neither state is considered a battleground by national media…yet. https://t.co/WrduZKEJA4
— Clay Travis (@ClayTravis) May 29, 2024
As the campaign season progresses, the candidates are likely to focus on issues such as the economy, immigration, and abortion, which are considered top concerns among voters in Virginia. The poll highlights the contrasting views between Republicans and Democrats regarding the legitimacy of past election results, underscoring the deep-seated divisions in American politics.
With the Institute for Policy and Opinion Research at Roanoke College conducting interviews with 711 adult residents of Virginia, the weighted margin of error of 4.24% underscores the significance of these findings. As the race intensifies, both parties are gearing up for a fierce battle for the crucial swing state of Virginia, setting the stage for a closely watched electoral showdown.
Just before Super Tuesday, almost three months ago, Biden was up by 4%. Watch:
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